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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Georgia Governor margin of victory
Georgia Governor margin of victory

Georgia Governor margin of victory

One-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsElection1y
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Republicans, 2+ pts
Republicans, 2+ pts 46%
Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality

24 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$16.7

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

41.0% / 99.0%

Spread

141.5%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 6 minutes ago

Apr 29, 26, 2:00 PMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Republicans, 2+ pts46%

Rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Georgia by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
  • No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
  • For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.

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Texas's 23rd District margin of victory

Texas's 23rd District margin of victory

$5.5
Republicans, 17+ pts: 16%KalshiKALSHI
Texas Governor margin of victory

Texas Governor margin of victory

$4.2
Republicans, 3+ pts: 82%KalshiKALSHI
Texas's 15th District margin of victory

Texas's 15th District margin of victory

$3.1
Democrats, 2+ pts: 43%KalshiKALSHI
North Carolina Senate margin of victory

North Carolina Senate margin of victory

$3.1
Democrats, 7+ pts: 49%KalshiKALSHI
Ohio's 7th District margin of victory

Ohio's 7th District margin of victory

$3
Republicans, 1+ pts: 60%KalshiKALSHI

Active in these topics

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Rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Georgia by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
  • No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
  • For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.