KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
125 million and above 22%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$41.2K
High liquiditySpread
1.4 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Feb 21, 26, 9:00 PM UTCNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
Kalshi2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
PolymarketIf Musk registers a new party before the 2026 midterms, what % of House votes will it win?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the U.S. House?
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PolymarketTX-15 House winner?
KalshiRules
If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is 89,999,999 and below, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:the Clerk of the House
- The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority.
- Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification.
- In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority.
- If the election is held in multiple phases, the contract resolves on the certified aggregate total.
- If a runoff forms part of the certified result, it is encompassed.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — 2026 Midterms: House Turnout · 125-130m 22%
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+2.5pt38.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $130.5M
- 24h Vol
- $1.4M
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+8.2pt54%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-9.0pt44%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt2%
+16 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.4%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.3%
- Gavin Newsom14.3%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $214.8M
- 24h Vol
- $1M
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson67.3%
- Susan Collins32.7%
- Total Vol
- $5.3M
- 24h Vol
- $588.1K
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt85.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.8%
- Total Vol
- $29.6M
- 24h Vol
- $446.8K
KALSHIOhio Senate winner?
- Sherrod Brown-2.0pt51.5%
- Jon Husted+1.0pt48.5%
- Total Vol
- $3.1M
- 24h Vol
- $416.5K
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Iowa Senate winner?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Texas Senate winner?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- TX-15 House winner?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for 2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout??
- Kalshi prices 125 million and above at 22% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does 2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout? resolve?
- 2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2027.
- How is 2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is 89,999,999 and below, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is 2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket.