2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout?
6.0 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms5mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 30, 2026, 12:48 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
125 million and above · —
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Stored price
125 million and above 26.5%Leader of 9 outcomes
125 million and above 26.5%Market quality
69 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$5.6K
Open interest
$81.5K
High open interestBid / Ask
— / —
125 million and aboveSpread
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Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingFeb 21, 26, 9:00 PM UTCMar 31, 27, 2:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · 125 million and above
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
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KalshiRules
If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is at least 125,000,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:the Clerk of the House
- The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification. In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority. If the election is held in multiple phases, the contract resolves on the certified aggregate total. If a runoff forms part of the certified result, it is encompassed. The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals. Preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify. If the election is postponed but held within one year of the originally scheduled date, the contract remains valid; if postponed beyond one year or canceled, all contracts resolve to No.
Rules for each outcome
- 125 million and above
- If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is at least 125,000,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 115 to 119.99 million
- If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is between 115,000,000 and 119,999,999, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 120 to 124.99 million
- If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is between 120,000,000 and 124,999,999, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 110 to 114.99 million
- If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is between 110,000,000 and 114,999,999, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 105 to 109.99 million
- If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is between 105,000,000 and 109,999,999, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 100 to 104.99 million
- If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is between 100,000,000 and 104,999,999, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 95 to 99.99 million
- If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is between 95,000,000 and 99,999,999, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Less than 90 million
- If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is 89,999,999 and below, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 90 to 94.99 million
- If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is between 90,000,000 and 94,999,999, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — 2026 Midterms: House Turnout · 115-120m 26%