KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability120 to 124.99 million 20%-1.0%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
80 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$937.7
Liquidity
$35.1K
High liquidityBid / Ask
19.0% / 20.0%
Spread
5.3%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Feb 21, 26, 9:00 PMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
120 to 124.99 million20%
Compare venues· 125 million and above
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | High | 28% | — | $937.7 | $35.1K | 5 minutes ago | |
 PolymarketMost active80% match · verified | Medium | 34% | — | $1.4K | $118.8K | 11 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
2026 Midterms: House Turnout
12.0%3mo
+12.0%34%
+0.5%15%
-0.5%10%
+9 more outcomes
64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$9.5K
24h Vol$1.4K
POLYMARKETRules
If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S.
- House of Representatives elections is 89,999,999 and below, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority.
- Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification.
- In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority.
- If the election is held in multiple phases, the contract resolves on the certified aggregate total.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$938Jul 47d of dataJul 13
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If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S.
- House of Representatives elections is 89,999,999 and below, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority.
- Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification.
- In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority.
- If the election is held in multiple phases, the contract resolves on the certified aggregate total.