PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability120-125m 28%-1.0%Leader of 12 outcomes
Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.6K
Liquidity
$124K
High liquidityBid / Ask
22.0% / 34.0%
Spread
54.5%
Wide spread7d Change
+6.0%
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Feb 20, 26, 5:41 PMNov 3, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
120-125m28%
Compare venues· 120-125m
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall80% match · verified | High | 28% | — | $1.2K | $35.2K | 20 minutes ago | Open → |
| PolymarketThis pageMost active | Medium | 28% | — | $1.6K | $124K | 4 minutes ago |
Also available on Kalshi
2026 2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout?
1y
21%
5%
+2.6%9%
+6 more outcomes
80 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$70.5K
24h Vol$1.2K
KALSHIRules
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S.
- House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
- Only votes cast for candidates for U.S.
- Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$1.6kJul 46d of dataJul 13
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The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S.
- House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
- Only votes cast for candidates for U.S.
- Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.