PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 30, 2026, 1:33 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
115-120m · —
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Stored reference
115-120m 27.2%Leader of 11 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
115-120m 27.2%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$888.8
Liquidity
$169.8K
High liquidityOpen interest
$5.1K
Bid / Ask
— / —
115-120mSpread
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Comments
0
7d Change
-4.5 pts
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleFeb 20, 26, 5:41 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · 115-120m
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
PolymarketIf Musk registers a new party before the 2026 midterms, what % of House votes will it win?
Manifold Markets2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
Kalshi2026 Midterms: House popular vote vs. generic ballot?
Kalshi2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Directional)
Kalshi2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Directional)
Manifold MarketsRules
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
- Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/).
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — 2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout? · 125 million and above 31%