KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Addison McDowell 91%
Addison McDowell 91%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
$1.5K
Low open interestBid / Ask
9.7% / 9.9%
Spread
0.2 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Jan 7, 26, 1:08 AM UTCNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the House member sworn in for NC-06 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Library of Congress
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Rules for each outcome
- Addison McDowell
- If the House member sworn in for NC-06 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Cyril Jefferson
- If the House member sworn in for NC-06 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Addison McDowell (R) is 93%. The venue spread is about 2 percentage points.
CoinRithm reference Addison McDowell (R) 93% · 2 venues · 2 pt venue spread
- Also available on Polymarket — NC-06 House Election Winner · Addison McDowell (R) 92%
