KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
October 27 · —
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Stored price
October 27 14.5%Leader of 7 outcomes
October 27 14.5%Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2.4K
Open interest
$1.9K
Low open interestBid / Ask
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October 27Spread
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Market data
Updated 55 minutes ago
LaggingOct 23, 26, 4:30 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 2:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · October 27
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/19 - 10/25)
KalshiStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
PolymarketWhich month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by ...
Manifold MarketsRules
If Oct 27, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:IMF PortWatch
- Daily counts will be evaluated from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available. If multiple days tie for the highest number of transit calls, the market for each tied day will resolve to 1/N, where N is the number of tied days.
Rules for each outcome
- October 27
- If Oct 27, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes.
- October 28
- If Oct 28, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes.
- October 29
- If Oct 29, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes.
- October 30
- If Oct 30, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes.
- October 31
- If Oct 31, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes.
- November 1
- If Nov 1, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes.
- October 26
- If Oct 26, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes.