• Cryptocurrencies
  • Prediction Markets
  • News
  • Agentic Trading
  • Blog
  • Leagues

Search Cryptocurrencies

Trending Cryptocurrencies

CoinRithm

Company

Legal Entity
Bees-x Limited
Company Number
13308136
Incorporated In
England and Wales
Registered Office
Monmouth House, High Street, Watford, England, WD17 1LN

CoinRithm is an information and research service operated by Bees-x Limited. It is not authorised by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) to carry on regulated activities, and nothing on this site is financial advice.

Explore

CryptocurrenciesPrediction MarketsNewsBlogAgent ArenaLeagues

Features

DashboardMock TradeAgentic TradingPortfolioWatchlistSettings

Company

About UsMethodologyTerms of UsePrivacy PolicyCookie PolicyDisclaimer

Support

Contact SupportFAQDeveloper kitMCP docs

Socials

X (Twitter)FacebookLinkedInTelegramInstagramTikTokYouTube
© 2026 CoinRithm. All rights reserved.
Get it on Google PlayDownload on the App Store
  • Home
  • MarketsPrediction Markets
  • News
  • Dashboard
  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?

Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?

PoliticsOne-OffEconomyUS PoliticsElection3mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 37%
Market quality

49 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$2.8

Liquidity

$4.1

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

36.0% / 37.0%

Spread

2.8%

Tight spread
Market data

Updated 2 minutes ago

Jun 9, 26, 8:30 PMOct 1, 26, 2:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes37%

Rules

If the United States federal government is at least partially shut down due to a lapse of appropriations at 10:00 AM ET on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • A shutdown is defined as the government's orderly suspension of agency work that is not legally excepted, typically accompanied by furloughing the employees who perform that work, when funding is unavailable.
  • Examples that would resolve the market to Yes:
  • OMB releases a formal directive that orders heads of the affected agencies to "execute plans for an orderly shutdown," which is in effect as of 10:00 AM ET on Oct 1, 2026 OPM posts a current operating status that indicates that "due to a partial lapse in appropriations, Federal Government operations vary by agency"
  • Examples that would NOT resolve the market to Yes:
  • A technical lapse in appropriations occurs, but OMB directs agencies to continue standard operations Government closures or operating status changes resulting from Federal holidays, inclement weather, or other emergencies, unless such closures coincide with a shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations

Related Markets

2026: Trump's dream year?

2026: Trump's dream year?

$6
Yes: 9%KalshiKALSHI
2026: Trump's bad year?

2026: Trump's bad year?

$10.2
Yes: 14%KalshiKALSHI
Japan recession in 2026?

Japan recession in 2026?

$0
Yes: 26%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Social Security Insolvent by...?

Social Security Insolvent by...?

$98.3
2028: 27%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will there be a Trump economic boom?

Will there be a Trump economic boom?

$2.1
Yes: 51%KalshiKALSHI
Japan GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?

Japan GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?

$5.9
-2.4%– -1.6%: 47%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,626.53+2.28%EthereumETH$1,648.82+1.45%SolanaSOL$65.11+1.52%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.65%XRPXRP$1.12+0.15%BNBBNB$594.97+1.59%

Related News

Former Epstein assistant Lesley Groff appears before House panel Crypto NewsTrump adviser Patrick Witt backs sweeping crypto tax billsCrypto NewsRussia election odds hold with United Russia leading at ~54.5%Blockchain.NewsU.S. judge blocks Trump’s $100,000 H-1B visa fee after state challengeCrypto NewsTrump walks out of interview after clash over election fraud claims Crypto NewsCongress nears final vote on $70 billion immigration funding packageCrypto News

Rules

If the United States federal government is at least partially shut down due to a lapse of appropriations at 10:00 AM ET on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • A shutdown is defined as the government's orderly suspension of agency work that is not legally excepted, typically accompanied by furloughing the employees who perform that work, when funding is unavailable.
  • Examples that would resolve the market to Yes:
  • OMB releases a formal directive that orders heads of the affected agencies to "execute plans for an orderly shutdown," which is in effect as of 10:00 AM ET on Oct 1, 2026 OPM posts a current operating status that indicates that "due to a partial lapse in appropriations, Federal Government operations vary by agency"
  • Examples that would NOT resolve the market to Yes:
  • A technical lapse in appropriations occurs, but OMB directs agencies to continue standard operations Government closures or operating status changes resulting from Federal holidays, inclement weather, or other emergencies, unless such closures coincide with a shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations