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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Economy
  3. Government shutdown by October 1?
Government shutdown by October 1?

Government shutdown by October 1?

EconomyOne-OffPolitics3mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 46%
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$6

Liquidity

$334.2

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

30.0% / 61.0%

Spread

103.3%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Jun 10, 26, 4:38 PMOct 2, 26, 3:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes46%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government enters a shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A U.S. federal government shutdown is considered to have gone into effect when there is a lapse in appropriations that results in federal government agencies suspending non-excepted operations, typically including the furlough of non-excepted federal employees.
  • A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress fails to enact, or the President fails to sign into law, legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
  • A lapse in appropriations where no federal agencies cease or suspend non-excepted operations will not qualify as a shutdown.
  • Partial shutdowns qualify.

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,644.30+1.77%EthereumETH$1,653.56+1.22%SolanaSOL$64.96+0.95%DogecoinDOGE$0.0848+1.10%XRPXRP$1.11+0.02%BNBBNB$595.49+1.39%

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government enters a shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A U.S. federal government shutdown is considered to have gone into effect when there is a lapse in appropriations that results in federal government agencies suspending non-excepted operations, typically including the furlough of non-excepted federal employees.
  • A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress fails to enact, or the President fails to sign into law, legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
  • A lapse in appropriations where no federal agencies cease or suspend non-excepted operations will not qualify as a shutdown.
  • Partial shutdowns qualify.