KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 0.0% 99%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
37 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$353.3
Liquidity
$3.6K
Medium liquiditySpread
21.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Jun 10, 26, 6:30 PMSep 11, 26, 12:25 PM
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Rules
If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for August 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- Please note that the value of the Underlying is the single-decimal value reported by the BLS.
- In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.
- If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for August 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for August 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for August 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change-4.0pt68.3%
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt30.7%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $43M
- 24h Vol
- $2.9M
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+2.0pt51.5%
- No-2.0pt48.5%
- Total Vol
- $7.8M
- 24h Vol
- $75.3K
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $124.3K
- 24h Vol
- $15.8K
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting41%
- September Meeting+3.5pt30%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHICPI-U index in August
- Above 334.30095%
- Above 334.35095%
- Above 334.450+3.0pt94%
+22 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $53.3K
- 24h Vol
KALSHICPI core in October
- Above 0.1%98%
- Above 0.2%98%
- Above 0.0%66%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $8.1K
- 24h Vol
- $7.6K
- How high will inflation get this year?
- US shelter CPI in August
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- August Inflation US - Annual
- PPI YoY - August 2026
- South Africa inflation rate MoM for August
- US electricity price in August
- Core PCE YoY - July 2026
- CPI in August
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for CPI core in August?
- Kalshi prices Above 0.0% at 99% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does CPI core in August resolve?
- CPI core in August is scheduled to resolve on September 11, 2026.
- How is CPI core in August settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for August 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.