PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityOther 51%+3.0%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$9.7K
Liquidity
$261.5K
High liquidityBid / Ask
50.0% / 51.0%
Spread
2.0%
Tight spread7d Change
+12.0%
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Jun 17, 26, 11:30 PMOct 28, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Other51%
Large trades
$1.1k61.0%Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? — NoHolyMoses78d ago
Volume trend
$9.7kJul 212d of dataJul 13
Macro-Sensitive Assets
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The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate.
- The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
- This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.
- A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
- A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
- A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.