KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Before 2028 87%+2.0ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
≤74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$25.7K
Liquidity
$1.4M
High liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Mar 19, 25, 11:30 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Fed rate hike by which date?
PolymarketFed rate hike in 2026?
PolymarketFed rate hike in 2026?
Manifold MarketsFed rate hike by...? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsWill the Fed lower the rate 25bps in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExWill the Fed leave the rate unchanged in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExRules
If the Federal Reserve hikes again by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Federal Reserve
- If the Federal Reserve hikes again by Jun 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Federal Reserve hikes again by Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase52.9%
- No change+2.0pt46.1%
- 50+ bps increase+0.1pt1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $108M
- 24h Vol
- $3.5M
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt54.4%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt42.7%
- Cut 25bps1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $41.5M
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt50.9%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt42.5%
- Hike >25bps-2.0pt2.3%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)+0.5pt6%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.3pt1%
+10 more outcomes
KALSHIFed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Above 2.75%99%
- Above 3.00%99%
- Above 3.25%99%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.7M
- 24h Vol
- $62.3K
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts+0.5pt91.1%
- Exactly 1 cut-0.8pt7.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.8pt1%
+18 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Fed Decision in October?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Fed Decision in December?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Next Fed rate hike??
- Kalshi prices Before 2028 at 87% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Next Fed rate hike? resolve?
- Next Fed rate hike? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Next Fed rate hike? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Federal Reserve hikes again by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.