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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Fed
  3. Next Fed rate hike?
Next Fed rate hike?

Next Fed rate hike?

6.0% (24h)FedOne-Off6mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Before 2027
Before 2027 49%-6.0%
Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality

60 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$216.8

Liquidity

$9.9K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

47.0% / 50.0%

Spread

6.4%

Moderate spread
Market data

Updated 2 minutes ago

Mar 19, 25, 11:30 PMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Before 202749%

PolymarketAlso available on Polymarket

Fed rate hike by...?

Fed rate hike by...?

4mo
October Meeting
October Meeting
+4.5%43%
September Meeting
September Meeting
-1.0%25%
July Meeting
July Meeting
+0.6%8%

+2 more outcomes

56 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$157.5K
24h Vol$3.7
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Rules

If the Federal Reserve hikes again by Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If the Federal Reserve hikes again by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the Federal Reserve hikes again by Jun 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the Federal Reserve hikes again by Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.

Macro-Sensitive Assets

BitcoinBTC$62,032.36+1.04%EthereumETH$1,633.97+0.54%SolanaSOL$64.53+0.18%

Related Markets

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

$180.2K
0 (0: 79%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

$103.3K
Yes: 1%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Fed decision in Jun 2026?

Fed decision in Jun 2026?

$11.4K
Fed maintains rate: 98%KalshiKALSHI
Fed funds rate after Jun 2026 meeting?

Fed funds rate after Jun 2026 meeting?

$843.1
Above 3.75%: 1%KalshiKALSHI
Fed decision in Jul 2026?

Fed decision in Jul 2026?

$576.9
Fed maintains rate: 93%KalshiKALSHI

Active in these topics

DogecoinDOGE$0.0838-0.32%BNBBNB$590.59+0.43%XRPXRP$1.11-1.09%CardanoADA$0.1625-0.55%HyperliquidHYPE$53.82-3.62%LitecoinLTC$42.10-1.09%

Related News

Bitcoin traders brace for Federal Reserve decision as hold odds hit 98%Crypto NewsWall Street abandons rate-cut hopes ahead of Kevin Warsh’s first FOMCCrypto NewsStrategy's bitcoin purchase fails to stir BTC priceCoindeskBitcoin braces for inflation shock as CPI puts bulls on edgeCrypto NewsThe Fed, Iran, and Saylor: anatomy of the June crypto crashCrypto NewsMay 2026 US Jobs Report: Upward Revisions Reshape Crypto Fed Rate Cut OutlookBlockchain Reporter

Rules

If the Federal Reserve hikes again by Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If the Federal Reserve hikes again by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the Federal Reserve hikes again by Jun 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the Federal Reserve hikes again by Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.