Current implied probability
Above 3.3% 87%+2.0%Leader of 26 outcomes
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$71
Liquidity
$10.9K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
87.0% / 98.0%
Spread
12.6%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Jun 9, 26, 10:15 PMSep 11, 26, 12:29 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Above 3.3%87%
Volume trend
$71Jul 221d of dataJul 26
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)
$10.6KAbove 3.4%: 29%
KALSHI
KALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
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KALSHIInflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)
$0Above 3.0%: 97%KALSHI
KALSHI
US economic state at the end of 2026?
$1.8KSoft Landing: 62%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Did US Real Median Household Income Increase in 2023?
$22Yes: 76.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
$4.4K0-1%: 56%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
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If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 2.5% in the twelve months ending August 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
- In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 2.6% in the twelve months ending August 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 2.7% in the twelve months ending August 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 2.8% in the twelve months ending August 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 2.9% in the twelve months ending August 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.