KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above -5.0% of GDP 97%Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.5K
Liquidity
$2.4K
Low liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Sep 7, 26, 7:00 PM UTCApr 20, 27, 12:59 PM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
If Germany’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:International Monetary Fund
- Important information: Negative values represent budget deficits.
- A higher, less-negative value represents a smaller deficit.
- For example, −4.0% is above −5.0%.
- “General government net lending/borrowing” is calculated as government revenue minus total expenditure.
- A negative value represents net borrowing, or a deficit, while a positive value represents net lending, or a surplus.
Open markets
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Germany’s government budget balance in 2026?
- Kalshi prices Above -5.0% of GDP at 97% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Germany’s government budget balance in 2026 resolve?
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026 is scheduled to resolve on April 20, 2027.
- How is Germany’s government budget balance in 2026 settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Germany’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.