KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Flávio Bolsonaro · —
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Stored price
Flávio Bolsonaro 98.5%
Flávio Bolsonaro 98.5%Market quality
78 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$18.6K
Open interest
$15K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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Flávio BolsonaroSpread
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Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Oct 22, 26, 10:00 PM UTCOct 25, 27, 2:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Flávio Bolsonaro
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory
KalshiBrazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win?
KalshiBrazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent
KalshiBrazil presidential runoff: which countries will Flávio Bolsonaro win?
Kalshi🇧🇷 Will Brazil’s 2026 presidential runoff be decided by less than 3 percentage points?
Manifold MarketsBrazil Presidential Election Second Round: Winner in São Paulo City
PolymarketRules
If Flávio Bolsonaro finishes in 1st place in the state of São Paulo in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: Rank is based on runoff vote totals only In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO. The state of São Paulo is the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) results unit for votes cast in São Paulo state; ranking uses its runoff totals, regardless of the national result. Votes cast abroad are not part of any state.
Rules for each outcome
- Flávio Bolsonaro
- If Flávio Bolsonaro finishes in 1st place in the state of São Paulo in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
- If Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finishes in 1st place in the state of São Paulo in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.