KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 3 · —
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Stored price
Above 8 36%Market line of 7 lines
Above 8 36%Market quality
41 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$350
Open interest
$781.6
Low open interestBid / Ask
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Above 3Spread
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Market data
Updated 39 minutes ago
Oct 14, 26, 2:00 PM UTCNov 11, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 3
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Likud win?
KalshiIsraeli legislative election: how many seats will Ra'am win?
KalshiIsraeli legislative election: how many seats will Together win?
KalshiIsraeli legislative election: how many seats will Shas win?
KalshiMexico 2027 Chamber of Deputies Legislative Election Winner
Manifold MarketsIsrael Election: Yisrael Beiteinu vote share?
PolymarketRules
If Yisrael Beiteinu has won above 8 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Central Elections Committee
- If Yisrael Beiteinu runs in this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by that list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party before the election, all seats won by the merged party will be counted, as will any seats won by a joint candidate list the merged party runs on. Yisrael Beiteinu refers to the party led by Avigdor Liberman at issuance. A name change alone does not change its identity. If neither Yisrael Beiteinu nor a qualifying joint list or merged successor contests the election, its seat count is zero. A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either: The time for legal challenges has expired Challenges have been resolved The member has taken their seat Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged. If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price. Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections. By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 3
- If Yisrael Beiteinu has won above 3 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5
- If Yisrael Beiteinu has won above 5 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 6
- If Yisrael Beiteinu has won above 6 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 7
- If Yisrael Beiteinu has won above 7 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 8
- If Yisrael Beiteinu has won above 8 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 9
- If Yisrael Beiteinu has won above 9 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 11
- If Yisrael Beiteinu has won above 11 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.