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Data as of Sep 9, 2026, 7:18 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
7-8% 45%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
26 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$608.7
Low liquiditySpread
68.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Sep 8, 26, 6:33 PM UTCOct 27, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
- The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election.
- Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
- If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted.
- If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu vote share??
- Polymarket prices 7-8% at 45% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu vote share? resolve?
- Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu vote share? is scheduled to resolve on October 27, 2026.
- How is Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu vote share? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.