KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
At least 60% · —
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Stored price
At least 75% 54.5%Market line of 7 lines
At least 75% 54.5%Market quality
62 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$4K
Open interest
$12.3K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
At least 60%Spread
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Market data
Updated 24 minutes ago
Sep 21, 26, 9:00 PM UTCJan 19, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · At least 60%
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
If the Remain option’s share of valid votes on Question 10 in Elections Alberta’s first official final referendum results is at least 75% in the October 19, 2026 Alberta referendum, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Elections Alberta
- The value is the percentage of valid votes cast for Option 1 (Alberta should remain a province of Canada) on Question 10 of Alberta’s October 19, 2026 referendum, as reported in Elections Alberta’s first official final referendum results. Preliminary results do not qualify. Valid votes are votes for either Question 10 option; blank and rejected ballots are excluded. Rounding follows Elections Alberta’s reported convention. If no qualifying results are released by expiration, the market resolves to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange.
Rules for each outcome
- At least 60%
- If the Remain option’s share of valid votes on Question 10 in Elections Alberta’s first official final referendum results is at least 60% in the October 19, 2026 Alberta referendum, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 65%
- If the Remain option’s share of valid votes on Question 10 in Elections Alberta’s first official final referendum results is at least 65% in the October 19, 2026 Alberta referendum, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 70%
- If the Remain option’s share of valid votes on Question 10 in Elections Alberta’s first official final referendum results is at least 70% in the October 19, 2026 Alberta referendum, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 75%
- If the Remain option’s share of valid votes on Question 10 in Elections Alberta’s first official final referendum results is at least 75% in the October 19, 2026 Alberta referendum, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 77%
- If the Remain option’s share of valid votes on Question 10 in Elections Alberta’s first official final referendum results is at least 77% in the October 19, 2026 Alberta referendum, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 80%
- If the Remain option’s share of valid votes on Question 10 in Elections Alberta’s first official final referendum results is at least 80% in the October 19, 2026 Alberta referendum, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 85%
- If the Remain option’s share of valid votes on Question 10 in Elections Alberta’s first official final referendum results is at least 85% in the October 19, 2026 Alberta referendum, then the market resolves to Yes.