Current community forecast
Alberta holds referendum - Charles visits US 73.9%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
6
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+20.9 pts
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleJan 30, 26, 3:58 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves based on two independent events occurring during 2026:
- Alberta Referendum: Resolves YES if Alberta holds a referendum on provincial separation from Canada in 2026.
- King Charles III US Visit: Resolves YES if King Charles III visits the United States in 2026.
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from Elections Alberta and Buckingham Palace/official UK government sources.
- Alberta Premier Danielle Smith announced in May 2025 that she would hold a referendum on provincial separation in 2026 if citizens gather the required signatures on a petition.
