Current community forecast
2025 [resolves on Jan 1st] 100%Leader of 26 outcomes
Forecasters
91
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Mar 19, 24, 2:45 AM UTCDec 26, 26, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
100%
100%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which countries will King Charles III visit in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Charles III remain the king for all of 2026?
Manifold MarketsCharles III still King of England through the end of 2026?
FutuurHow many UK prime ministers will serve under King Charles III π π¬π§
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketRules
King Charles III is the current king of England and a bunch of other land too.
- What will occur while heβs reigning monarch?
- Once an answer has occurred, it will Resolve YES.
- When Charles is no longer King, everything will Resolve NO.
- Feel free to add whatever, I may ask clarifying questions.
- Please try to make the guesses a few months out, at least.
Open markets
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $157.2K
- 24h Vol
- $119.4K
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+10.0pt60%
- 2027+2.0pt31.4%
- 2026+2.0pt8.6%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.7pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $10.6M
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-4.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $377.7K
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETOpenAIβs Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.5pt23%
+2 more outcomes
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropicβs valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for What will occur during the reign of King Charles III? π€΄π¬π§π?
- Manifold Markets prices 2025 [resolves on Jan 1st] at 100% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does What will occur during the reign of King Charles III? π€΄π¬π§π resolve?
- What will occur during the reign of King Charles III? π€΄π¬π§π is scheduled to resolve on December 26, 2026.
- How is What will occur during the reign of King Charles III? π€΄π¬π§π settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: King Charles III is the current king of England and a bunch of other land too.