Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 22, 2026, 10:38 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 87.7%
Forecasters
65
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingSep 8, 22, 6:44 PM UTCSep 16, 66, 6:59 AM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
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