Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Other 22.1%+0.3ptLeader of 13 outcomes
Forecasters
63
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+0.3 pts
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jan 17, 24, 10:16 AM UTCJan 18, 30, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What will the next King of the United Kingdom choose as his regnal name?
Manifold MarketsWhat will occur during the reign of King Charles III? 🤴🇬🇧👑
Manifold MarketsHow many UK prime ministers will serve under King Charles III 👑 🇬🇧
Manifold MarketsNext government of the United Kingdom?
KalshiCharles III still King of England through the end of 2026?
FutuurUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
KalshiRules
King Charles III ascended to the throne in 2022 after a spending a remarkable 64 years as the Prince of Wales (the title given to the heir to the throne).
- His mother reigned for 70 years, but the King's age (he's currently 75) makes a comparable reign vanishingly unlikely.
- There are a few ways that Charles III could stop being the King:
- He could die.
- This is the traditional way that a Monarch ends their reign.
- He could abdicate due to age.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for In which year will King Charles III cease to be King of the United Kingdom??
- Manifold Markets prices Other at 22% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does In which year will King Charles III cease to be King of the United Kingdom? resolve?
- In which year will King Charles III cease to be King of the United Kingdom? is scheduled to resolve on January 18, 2030.
- How is In which year will King Charles III cease to be King of the United Kingdom? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: King Charles III ascended to the throne in 2022 after a spending a remarkable 64 years as the Prince of Wales (the title given to the heir to the throne).