Who will be a part of the next government of British Columbia?
48.0 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffChessUS PoliticsElectionSports1mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
BC Conservatives · —
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Stored price
BC Conservatives 74.5%Leader of 5 outcomes
BC Conservatives 74.5%Market quality
41 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$16.4
Open interest
$9.1K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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BC ConservativesSpread
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Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Sep 23, 26, 8:00 PM UTCNov 24, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · BC Conservatives
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiWho will be a part of the next government of New Zealand?
KalshiBritish Columbia General Election Winner
PolymarketNext Premier of British Columbia
PolymarketVancouver-Yaletown British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner
PolymarketRules
If a coalition that includes BC Conservatives make up the next elected ruling government of British Columbia before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes. A party is considered to be part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position (including junior ministers or equivalent executive roles, if applicable) in the new government. This evaluation shall occur at the first official, stable formation of the government (i.e., once the legislative process for forming a government is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances). A party governing alone qualifies under this ministerial-position test. A confidence and supply arrangement (or any analogous agreement), where a party does not hold formal cabinet or ministerial positions but has publicly agreed, through a formal written agreement or a widely recognized, explicitly stated political deal, to support the government on key votes (e.g., votes of confidence, budget/finance bills) without formally joining the cabinet or government, counts only when expressly specified in the market’s party description. These individual-party descriptions do not specify such an arrangement, so confidence and supply without a qualifying ministerial position does not count. If, following the election, a caretaker or interim government is appointed temporarily before the formal government formation, this caretaker period does not count for determining a given party’s status.
Rules for each outcome
- BC Conservatives
- If a coalition that includes BC Conservatives make up the next elected ruling government of British Columbia before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- BC NDP
- If a coalition that includes BC NDP make up the next elected ruling government of British Columbia before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- BC Greens
- If a coalition that includes BC Greens make up the next elected ruling government of British Columbia before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- OneBC
- If a coalition that includes OneBC make up the next elected ruling government of British Columbia before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- CentreBC
- If a coalition that includes CentreBC make up the next elected ruling government of British Columbia before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.