KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
AfD 42%-20.0ptLeader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
33 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$68.9
Liquidity
$4.4K
Medium liquiditySpread
21.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Aug 21, 26, 7:00 PM UTCJan 15, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the next minister-president of Saxony-Anhalt be from AfD?
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KalshiRules
If a coalition that includes CDU make up the next elected ruling government of Saxony-Anhalt before Jan 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes.
- A party is considered to be part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position (including junior ministers or equivalent executive roles, if applicable) in the new government.
- This evaluation shall occur at the first official, stable formation of the government (i.e., once the legislative process for forming a government is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances).
- If a coalition that includes AfD make up the next elected ruling government of Saxony-Anhalt before Jan 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a coalition that includes the named outcome make up the next elected ruling government of Saxony-Anhalt before Jan 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will be a part of the next government of Saxony-Anhalt??
- Kalshi prices AfD at 42% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Who will be a part of the next government of Saxony-Anhalt? resolve?
- Who will be a part of the next government of Saxony-Anhalt? is scheduled to resolve on January 15, 2027.
- How is Who will be a part of the next government of Saxony-Anhalt? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If a coalition that includes CDU make up the next elected ruling government of Saxony-Anhalt before Jan 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.