KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Dina Titus 97%
Dina Titus 97%Market quality
51 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$16
Open interest
$4.6K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
1.5% / 6.9%
Spread
5.4 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Jul 1, 25, 9:00 PM UTCNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 14s (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the House member sworn in for NV-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Library of Congress
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Rules for each outcome
- Dina Titus
- If the House member sworn in for NV-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Carrie Buck
- If the House member sworn in for NV-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
3 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Dina Titus (D) is 94%. The venue spread is about 2 percentage points. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference Dina Titus (D) 94% · 3 venues · 2 pt venue spread
- Also available on Gemini — Nevada-01 House Winner · Dina Titus 88%
- Also available on Polymarket — NV-01 House Election Winner · Dina Titus (D) 96%