GeminiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Jace Yarbrough 87.6%
Jace Yarbrough 87.6%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
88.0% / 89.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadTraders
0
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Aug 24, 26, 12:48 PM UTCNov 10, 26, 1:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Who will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Texas-32?
- If the named outcome wins the 2026 U.S. House election in TX-32, then this market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources.
- View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F8634b5141fe14d6783a347884150d6bd?alt=media&token=f103a20d-e51f-47f5-ad36-03aaaafec1cc&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
Prediction Source Comparison
3 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's cross-venue reference probability for Jace Yarbrough (R) is 88%. The venue spread is about 2 percentage points. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference Jace Yarbrough (R) 88% · 3 venues · 2 pt venue spread
- Also available on Polymarket — TX-32 House Election Winner · Jace Yarbrough (R) 88%
- Also available on Kalshi — TX-32 House winner? · Jace Yarbrough 85%
