KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityJace Yarbrough 79.6%
Market quality
63 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$230.3
Liquidity
$5.7K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
19.0% / 21.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Oct 14, 25, 2:00 PMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Dan Barrios21%
Compare venues· Jace Yarbrough
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | Medium | 82% | — | $230.3 | $5.7K | 17 minutes ago | |
 Polymarket60% match · verified | Medium | 77% | — | $32 | $4.9K | 17 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
TX-32 House Election Winner
1.0 pts3mo
+1.0pt75.5%
24.5%
0%
+5 more outcomes
61 • Medium qualityTight spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$28.3K
24h Vol$32
POLYMARKETRules
If the House member sworn in for TX-32 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the House member sworn in for TX-32 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$230Jul 415d of dataJul 28
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If the House member sworn in for TX-32 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the House member sworn in for TX-32 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.