FutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution dataCurrent implied probability
Democratic Party 78%
Democratic Party 78%Market quality
39 / 100
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Iowa Governor Election Margin of Victory
PolymarketWhich party wins the 2026 Iowa Governor Election?
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats win 2026 Iowa governor election?
Manifold MarketsWill Zach Lahn win Iowa governor 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsIowa Governor election: Zach Lahn vote percent
KalshiIowa Governor election: Rob Sand vote percent
KalshiRules
This set of markets predicts which political party will win the 2026 gubernatorial election in the state of Iowa, scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- The market corresponding to the party of the candidate officially elected Governor of Iowa will resolve to "Yes".
- A candidate will be considered affiliated with a political party based on the official party designation under which they appear on the ballot.
- Iowa does not require a runoff election.
- The candidate who receives the highest number of valid votes in the general election is declared the winner.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be the Associated Press race call.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Gemini — Iowa Governor Winner · Rob Sand 83%
- Also available on Kalshi — Iowa Governor winner? · Rob Sand 84%
- Also available on Polymarket — Iowa Governor Election Winner · Rob Sand (D) 86%
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — 2026 Iowa Governor Race · Democrat 87%