KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
At least 40% · —
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Stored price
At least 46% Stored bid–ask38%–47%Collected: Last trade: 40% · Trade time unknownPrices are percentages of payout, before fees; these stored observations are not executable quotes.Market line of 10 lines
At least 46% Stored bid–ask38%–47%Collected: Last trade: 40% · Trade time unknownPrices are percentages of payout, before fees; these stored observations are not executable quotes.Market quality
38 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1K
Open interest
$1.5K
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
At least 40%Spread
—
Market data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Sep 11, 26, 2:00 PM UTCNov 3, 27, 2:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · At least 40%
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Texas Senate election: Ken Paxton vote percent
KalshiWyoming Governor election: Kenneth Casner vote percent
KalshiGeorgia Governor election: Keisha Lance Bottoms vote percent (1st Round)
KalshiNY-02 House election: Andrew Garbarino vote percent
KalshiFlorida Senate election: Ashley Moody vote percent
KalshiNY-17 House election: Cait Conley vote percent
KalshiRules
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Zach Lahn in the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election is 46% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Office of the Secretary of State, Des Moines, IA
- The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Zach Lahn ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
Rules for each outcome
- At least 40%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Zach Lahn in the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election is 40% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 42%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Zach Lahn in the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election is 42% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 44%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Zach Lahn in the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election is 44% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 46%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Zach Lahn in the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election is 46% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 48%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Zach Lahn in the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election is 48% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 50%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Zach Lahn in the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 54%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Zach Lahn in the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election is 54% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 56%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Zach Lahn in the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election is 56% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 38%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Zach Lahn in the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election is 38% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 52%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Zach Lahn in the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election is 52% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
