NY-02 House election: Andrew Garbarino vote percent
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms1y
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Sep 30, 2026, 6:46 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
At least 54% 58%Market line of 9 lines
At least 54% 58%Market quality
26 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
—
Open interest unknownSpread
9.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Sep 11, 26, 2:00 PM UTCNov 3, 27, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Rules
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Andrew Garbarino in the 2026 NY-02 House election is 54% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:State Board of Elections, Albany, NY
- The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Andrew Garbarino ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. Votes for Andrew Garbarino across all certified ballot lines are combined.
Rules for each outcome
- At least 48%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Andrew Garbarino in the 2026 NY-02 House election is 48% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 50%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Andrew Garbarino in the 2026 NY-02 House election is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 52%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Andrew Garbarino in the 2026 NY-02 House election is 52% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 54%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Andrew Garbarino in the 2026 NY-02 House election is 54% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 56%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Andrew Garbarino in the 2026 NY-02 House election is 56% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 58%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Andrew Garbarino in the 2026 NY-02 House election is 58% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 60%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Andrew Garbarino in the 2026 NY-02 House election is 60% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 62%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Andrew Garbarino in the 2026 NY-02 House election is 62% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 64%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Andrew Garbarino in the 2026 NY-02 House election is 64% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
