FutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution dataCurrent implied probability
No 52%
No 52%Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$10.1
Liquidity
$2.4K
Low liquidityTraders
2
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market covers only the election for President of the Federal Senate at the start of the 58th Legislature, scheduled for February 1, 2027.
- It resolves "Yes" if the winner is affiliated with the PL at the time of the election, per the Federal Senate's official record.
- FULL DETAILS
- If the senator elected President of the Federal Senate in the election held at the preparatory meeting at the start of the 58th Legislature, scheduled for February 1, 2027, is affiliated with the Partido Liberal (PL) at the time of that election, this market will resolve to "Yes"; otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Only this election counts; elections for the presidency of the Federal Senate held at any other time, including any election to fill a vacancy before February 2027 and the election for the second two-year term of the 58th Legislature, are not taken into account.
- The Primary Designated Source is the Federal Senate's official record of the election (senado.leg.br / Agência Senado), with party affiliation as shown on the elected senator's official profile on senado.leg.br.