SmarketsCheck availabilityKYC requiredLimited verified dataData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 7, 2026, 4:20 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Smarkets data is temporarily unavailable. Odds shown are the last values we collected on Oct 7, 2026.
Current implied probabilityDemocrat 96.2%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$5.5K
Medium liquidityMarket data
Updated 15 days ago
StaleTrends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
New Mexico Senate Election: Turnout
PolymarketWill the Democrats win the 2026 New Mexico Senate Election by 10% or more?
Manifold Markets2026 New Mexico Senate Race
Robinhood (Rothera)New Mexico Senate Election Margin of Victory
PolymarketNew Mexico Senate margin of victory
KalshiNew Mexico Senate General Election: voter turnout
KalshiRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — 2026 New Mexico Senate Race · Democrat 97%
- Also available on Polymarket — New Mexico Senate Election Winner · Ben Ray Luján (D) 96%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Which Party will win the 2026 New Mexico Senate Election? · Democrats 97%
- Also available on Kalshi — New Mexico Senate winner? · Ben Ray Luján 96%