KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Jim Risch 92.1%+1.3ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
84 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$24.5K
Liquidity
$134K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Jul 29, 26, 3:00 PM UTCNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Idaho for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:United States Congress
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Idaho for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the named outcome is sworn in as a Senator of Idaho for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Jim Risch is 93%. Quotes span about 1 percentage point between the widest venues. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference Jim Risch 93% · 2 venues · 1 pt venue spread
- Also available on Gemini — Idaho US Senate Winner · Jim Risch 85%
- Also available on Polymarket — Idaho Senate Election Winner · Jim Risch (R) 95%
- Also available on Smarkets — Idaho Senate Election Winner · Republican 93%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Idaho Senate winner??
- Kalshi prices Jim Risch at 92% as of September 21, 2026.
- When does Idaho Senate winner? resolve?
- Idaho Senate winner? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2027.
- How is Idaho Senate winner? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Idaho for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Idaho Senate winner? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Gemini, Polymarket, Smarkets.