GeminiKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Jim Risch 85.4%Leader of 3 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
48 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadTraders
0
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Jun 16, 26, 10:55 PM UTCNov 10, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Jim Risch win the Idaho general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExWill David Roth win the Idaho general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExWhich party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Idaho?
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GeminiWhich Party will win the 2026 US Senate Election in Ohio?
Manifold MarketsWill a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?
Manifold MarketsRules
Who will win the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Idaho?
- If the named outcome wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Idaho, then this market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources.
- This event is mutually exclusive within the Idaho Senate election.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Jim Risch is 93%. Quotes span about 1 percentage point between the widest venues. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference Jim Risch 93% · 2 venues · 1 pt venue spread
- Also available on Kalshi — Idaho Senate winner? · Jim Risch 92%
- Also available on Polymarket — Idaho Senate Election Winner · Jim Risch (R) 95%
- Also available on Smarkets — Idaho Senate Election Winner · Republican 93%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Idaho US Senate Winner?
- Gemini prices Jim Risch at 85% as of September 21, 2026.
- When does Idaho US Senate Winner resolve?
- Idaho US Senate Winner is scheduled to resolve on November 10, 2026.
- How is Idaho US Senate Winner settled?
- Gemini settles this market as follows: Who will win the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Idaho?
- Where else is Idaho US Senate Winner listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi, Polymarket, Smarkets.