Which party will win the 2026 US House election in New York's 4th District?
One-OffPoliticsElectionUS Politics2026 US Midterms8mo
PredictItCheck availabilityKYC requiredUnverified resolution dataRetail prediction exchange
Current implied probability
Democratic 90%
Democratic 90%Methodology
Retail prediction exchange
Question type
-
24h Volume
—
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Jul 16, 25, 2:49 PM UTCJul 14, 27, 4:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which party will win the 2026 US House election in New York's 17th District?
PredictItWho will win the 2026 election for New York's 12th Congressional District?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2026 election for New York's 7th Congressional District?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2026 election for New York's 8th Congressional District
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Texas?
PredictItWhich party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Michigan?
PredictItRules
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the party whose candidate wins the 2026 election to the U.S. House of Representatives from New York's Fourth Congressional District.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party if such individual is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed affiliation, of that party.
PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party if such individual is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed affiliation, of that party.
PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled.
- Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
- If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
