Who will win the 2026 election for New York's 7th Congressional District?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Who will win the 2026 election for New York's 7th Congressional District??

Manifold Markets prices Claire Valdez at 99% as of October 24, 2026.

When does Who will win the 2026 election for New York's 7th Congressional District? resolve?

Who will win the 2026 election for New York's 7th Congressional District? is scheduled to resolve on November 30, 2026.

How is Who will win the 2026 election for New York's 7th Congressional District? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Incumbent Nydia Velazquez announced her retirement today, setting up an open primary in this heavily Democratic outer borough seat.

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POLYMARKET

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

• Democrats Sweep-1.0pt65.7%
• R Senate, D+1.0pt25.5%
• Republicans Sweep7.8%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

$36.8M

24h Vol

$3.7M

KALSHI

Texas Senate winner?

• James Talarico-1.0pt63.5%
• Ken Paxton+2.0pt36%

Total Vol

$40.4M

24h Vol

$2.4M

POLYMARKET

Brazil Presidential Election

• Flávio Bolsonaro+9.4pt83%
• Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-9.0pt17%

+17 more outcomes

Total Vol

$195.1M

24h Vol

$2.1M

KALSHI

Which party will win the U.S. House?

• Democratic Party-0.7pt90.7%
• Republican Party+0.9pt9.6%

Total Vol

$68.8M

24h Vol

$1.5M

KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep-2.0pt65.5%
• D-House, R-Senate+2.0pt25.5%
• Republicans sweep+0.5pt

POLYMARKET

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

• Flávio Bolsonaro <4%-1.0pt39.8%
• Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%+8.0pt38.8%
• Lula da Silva <4%-8.0pt12.6%

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