PredictItCheck availabilityKYC requiredUnverified resolution dataRetail prediction exchange
Current implied probability
38.8% or higher 99%Leader of 9 outcomes
Methodology
Retail prediction exchange
Question type
-
24h Volume
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Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Sep 25, 26, 3:18 PM UTCOct 2, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What will President Trump's RCP job approval rating be on Sept. 30?
PredictItTrump approval rating on September 25?
PolymarketWill Trump's approval rating be higher on election day (Nov. 3, 2026) than it was in his first term (Nov. 6, 2018)?
Manifold MarketsHow low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
PolymarketWill the 47th President reach a worse net approval rating than Biden?
Manifold MarketsHow low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
KalshiRules
The contract that resolves to Yes shall identify President Trump's average Decision Desk HQ job approval rating at the End Date listed below.
- The approval rating shall be drawn from the number stating "Approve," available upon launch of this market at https://votes.decisiondeskhq.com/polls/presidential-approval/donald-j-trump-5/national/lv-rv-adults ("the Settlement Source"), at the box labeled as "Approve," and rounded to the nearest tenth of a percent as shown on devices set to Eastern Time.
Any number displayed at the Settlement Source at the End Date other than the live number labeled "Approve" will be irrelevant for purposes of this market.
Should the Settlement Source be unavailable at the End Date, PredictIt will, at its sole discretion, await an update, select the most recent data point in the identified series or an alternate source, or construct its own polling average.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: 10/02/2026 11:00 AM (ET)
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom+1.6pt15%
+50 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3B
- 24h Vol
- $984.9K
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $226.1M
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.2pt92%
- Republican Party-0.8pt8%
- Total Vol
- $37.3M
- 24h Vol
- $620.9K
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep61%
- D-House, R-Senate30%
- Republicans sweep+0.2pt8%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $21.2M
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson-3.0pt63%
- Susan Collins+3.0pt37%
- Total Vol
- $6.7M
- 24h Vol
- $448.7K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- March 31+1.5pt80%
- December 31+2.5pt66%
- November 30+1.0pt49%
+20 more outcomes
- Texas Senate winner?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Next French Presidential Election
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Ohio Senate winner?
- New Hampshire Senate winner?
- Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Kansas Senate winner?
- Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Trump's DDHQ job approval rating on Oct. 2??
- PredictIt prices 38.8% or higher at 99% as of September 25, 2026.
- When does Trump's DDHQ job approval rating on Oct. 2? resolve?
- Trump's DDHQ job approval rating on Oct. 2? is scheduled to resolve on October 2, 2026.
- How is Trump's DDHQ job approval rating on Oct. 2? settled?
- PredictIt settles this market as follows: The contract that resolves to Yes shall identify President Trump's average Decision Desk HQ job approval rating at the End Date listed below.