PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
38.5–38.9 51%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
42 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$50
Liquidity
$1K
Low liquiditySpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Sep 20, 26, 2:03 PM UTCSep 25, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Trump's approval rating on Sep 25, 2026?
KalshiWill Trump's approval rating increase this week? (9/18-9/25)
KalshiWill Trump's approval rating be higher on election day (Nov. 3, 2026) than it was in his first term (Nov. 6, 2018)?
Manifold MarketsWhat will President Trump's RCP job approval rating be on Sept. 23?
PredictItTrump's DDHQ job approval rating on Sept. 25?
PredictItTrump approval Up or Down this week?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 25, 2026.
- Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date.
- Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
- If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
- The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.).
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Trump's approval rating on Sep 25, 2026? · 40.0 to 40.2 29%
Open markets
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.6pt18%
- Gavin Newsom16%
- Jon Ossoff16%
+48 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3B
- 24h Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 20+1.9pt99%
- September 25-3.0pt89%
- September 30-3.0pt79%
+3 more outcomes
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro-29.0pt54%
- Delcy Rodríguez+30.0pt45%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $706.6M
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt60.2%
- D-House, R-Senate28.6%
- Republicans sweep-1.3pt10.2%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Third Term99%
+34 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $806.5K
- 24h Vol
- $382.1K
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Fed Decision in October?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump x Greenland deal signed by which date?
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Trump approval rating on September 25??
- Polymarket prices 38.5–38.9 at 51% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does Trump approval rating on September 25? resolve?
- Trump approval rating on September 25? is scheduled to resolve on September 25, 2026.
- How is Trump approval rating on September 25? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 25, 2026.
- Where else is Trump approval rating on September 25? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi.