PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Down 53%
Market quality
42 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$120
Liquidity
$382.6
Low liquidityBid / Ask
45.0% / 49.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Sep 20, 26, 2:03 PM UTCSep 25, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Trump's approval rating on Sep 25, 2026?
KalshiWill Trump's approval rating increase this week? (9/18-9/25)
KalshiWill Trump's approval rating be higher on election day (Nov. 3, 2026) than it was in his first term (Nov. 6, 2018)?
Manifold MarketsTrump approval rating on September 25?
PolymarketHow low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
KalshiWhen will President Trump's approval rating go below 38%?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on September 25, 2026, than on September 18, 2026.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on September 18, 2026, than on September 25, 2026.
- This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
- The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
- If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
- If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
Open markets
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.6pt18%
- Gavin Newsom16%
- Jon Ossoff16%
+48 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3B
- 24h Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 20+1.9pt99%
- September 25-3.0pt89%
- September 30-3.0pt79%
+3 more outcomes
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro-29.0pt54%
- Delcy Rodríguez+30.0pt45%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $706.6M
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt60.2%
- D-House, R-Senate28.6%
- Republicans sweep-1.3pt10.2%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Third Term99%
+34 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $806.5K
- 24h Vol
- $382.1K
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Fed Decision in October?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump x Greenland deal signed by which date?
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Trump approval Up or Down this week??
- Polymarket prices Down at 53% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does Trump approval Up or Down this week? resolve?
- Trump approval Up or Down this week? is scheduled to resolve on September 25, 2026.
- How is Trump approval Up or Down this week? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on September 25, 2026, than on September 18, 2026.