When will President Trump's approval rating go below 38%?
4.0 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsCommodities2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
By January 1st, 2029 93.7%+4.0ptLeader of 18 outcomes
Forecasters
60
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+4.0 pts
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Dec 24, 24, 5:28 AM UTCJan 21, 29, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
If protestors get shot by law enforcement during Trump's second term will his net approval rating go up?
Manifold MarketsTrump's approval rating (Gallup) will fall to 24% or below before the end of his second term
Manifold MarketsWill Trump's approval rating be above 40% at the end of his second term?
Manifold MarketsHow low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
PolymarketHow high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
PolymarketHow low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
LimitlessRules
Trump's approval rating on the day he left office was 38.0%.
- This market will resolve YES to all options on or after the date that his approval rating dips below this number.
- If it does not go below this number before he leaves office (at any time, for any reason), all other options will resolve NO.
- This will resolve based on the Silver Bulletin tracker.
- If it stops functioning or is otherwise deemed unreliable/invalid by the market creator, another website's approval rating tracker will be substituted.
- See the comments for more details.
