Will any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?
0.5 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffElectionUS Politics2026 US Midterms10d
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored reference
No 79%
No 79%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$12.4K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$262.8
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Comments
0
7d Change
+1.0 pts
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Sep 1, 26, 4:20 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · No
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PredictItRules
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if any federal or statewide election held on November 3 has a margin of victory of 0.01% or less.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate or option will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- In the midterms, a federal election is an election to either the United States Senate or House of Representatives (including non-voting seats), and a statewide election is any election, excluding ballot measures, which is on the ballot for all voting individuals within one of the fifty United States.
