PredictItCheck availabilityKYC requiredUnverified resolution dataRetail prediction exchange
Current implied probability
No 76%
No 76%Methodology
Retail prediction exchange
Question type
-
24h Volume
—
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Jul 7, 26, 2:56 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the House impeach a federal judge this year?
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Manifold MarketsWill a member of Congress or a federal judge be arrested and held without bail?
Manifold MarketsCurrent or former US senator, congressman, congresswoman, or a federal judge sent to CECOT during Trump's term?
Manifold MarketsWill any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?
PolymarketRules
This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that the U.S. House of Representatives votes to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of any sitting Article III Judge, subsequent to the launch of this market on July 7, 2026 and by the End Date listed below.
For purposes of resolving this market, Article III judges consist of judges of the following five types of courts: United States District Courts (including territorial courts), Article III United States Courts of Appeals, the United States Court of Federal Claims, the United States Court of International Trade, and the Supreme Court of the United States.
For purposes of resolving this market, Article III judges consist of judges of the following five types of courts: United States District Courts (including territorial courts), Article III United States Courts of Appeals, the United States Court of Federal Claims, the United States Court of International Trade, and the Supreme Court of the United States.
- Neither the Superior Court of the District of Columbia nor the District of Columbia Court of Appeals are considered part of the federal judiciary as defined in the Rules.
Neither trial nor conviction by the U.S. Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to cause this market to resolve as Yes.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: 12/31/2026 11:59 PM (ET)