Which party will win young men in the midterms?
1.0 pts (24h)One-OffUS PoliticsElectionPolitics2026 US Midterms1mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Democrats 89.1%+1.0pt
Democrats 89.1%+1.0ptMarket quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$24.8K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
89.0% / 90.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
+10.5 pts
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Sep 2, 26, 6:26 PM UTCNov 6, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of men in the age range of 18-24 in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
- This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
- In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for men in the 18-24 age range, this market will resolve based on the narrowest age range that begins with the youngest age for which data is available.
- In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
- In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Democratic party is 90%. The venue spread is about 7 percentage points.
CoinRithm reference Democratic party 90% · 2 venues · 7 pt venue spread
- Also available on Kalshi — Midterms: which party wins young men? · Democratic party 81%