Which party will win Latino men in the midterms?
5.0 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffElectionUS Politics2026 US Midterms18d
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Democrats · —
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Stored reference
Democrats 85.9%
Democrats 85.9%Market quality
66 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$212.3
Liquidity
$36.2K
High liquidityOpen interest
$2.3K
Bid / Ask
— / —
DemocratsSpread
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Comments
0
7d Change
-6.5 pts
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Sep 2, 26, 6:26 PM UTCNov 6, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · Democrats
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of Latino men in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
- This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
- In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
- In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
- In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's cross-venue reference probability for Democratic party is 85%. The venue spread is about 3 percentage points.
CoinRithm reference Democratic party 85% · 2 venues · 3 pt venue spread
- Also available on Kalshi — Midterms: which party wins Latino men? · Democratic party 82%