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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?
Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?

Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?

1.5% (24h)One-OffPoliticsElectionEurope
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
PSD
PSD 60%+10.3%
Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality

52 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$773.7

Liquidity

$10.5K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

4.1% / 9.8%

Spread

139.0%

Wide spread
7d Change

-3.5%

Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

PSD60%

Rules

The sitting government of Romania was ousted through a vote of no-confidence on May 5, 2026.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the next Romanian governing coalition formed after market creation.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • This market may resolve once the first new Romanian government is officially formed following Parliament’s vote of confidence and the taking of the oath of office by the members of the Government.
  • A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister.
  • Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify.

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Rules

The sitting government of Romania was ousted through a vote of no-confidence on May 5, 2026.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the next Romanian governing coalition formed after market creation.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • This market may resolve once the first new Romanian government is officially formed following Parliament’s vote of confidence and the taking of the oath of office by the members of the Government.
  • A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister.
  • Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify.