Current implied probability
PSD 64%-0.6ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
35 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$20
Liquidity
$11.5K
Medium liquiditySpread
24.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
3
7d Change
+16.0 pts
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?
PolymarketWho will be a part of the next government of Israel?
KalshiWho will be a part of the next government of Sweden?
KalshiWho will be a part of the next government of Saxony-Anhalt?
KalshiNext Prime Minister of Romania?
PolymarketParty of Next Prime Minister of Romania?
PolymarketRules
The sitting government of Romania was ousted through a vote of no-confidence on May 5, 2026.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the next Romanian governing coalition formed after market creation.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market may resolve once the first new Romanian government is officially formed following Parliament’s vote of confidence and the taking of the oath of office by the members of the Government.
- A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister.
- Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify.