Current implied probability
PSD 52%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$12.2K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
34.3% / 68.9%
Spread
100.9%
Wide spread7d Change
-6.8%
Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
PSD52%
Volume trend
$113Jul 223d of dataJul 25
Related Markets
Next government of the United Kingdom?
$0Reform UK majority: 6%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Next Prime Minister of Spain?
$0Alberto Núñez Feijóo: 81%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?
$0Independent/Technocrat: 34%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?
$4.8KBlue and White: 21%KALSHI
KALSHI
Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?
$0National + ACT + NZF: 38%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?
$0Anthony Albanese: 0%KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
Related News
Polymarket odds swing: Eizenkot hits 51% as Israel campaign kicks offBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News
White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk
Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News
White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph
Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as Epstein files critique hits tapeBlockchain.NewsRules
The sitting government of Romania was ousted through a vote of no-confidence on May 5, 2026.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the next Romanian governing coalition formed after market creation.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market may resolve once the first new Romanian government is officially formed following Parliament’s vote of confidence and the taking of the oath of office by the members of the Government.
- A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister.
- Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify.