Which parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?
One-OffPoliticsElectionChessUS PoliticsSports10d
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
National Party · —
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Stored reference
National Party 70%Leader of 6 outcomes
National Party 70%Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
$4.6K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$1.5K
Bid / Ask
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National PartySpread
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Comments
12
Market data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Apr 29, 26, 11:43 PM UTCNov 8, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
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Market depth · National Party
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KalshiRules
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first New Zealand government formed after the 2026 New Zealand general election.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the Governor-General after the 2026 New Zealand general election, with ministers appointed under non-caretaker circumstances.
- A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister.
- Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post will not qualify.