PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 29, 2026, 5:46 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
December 31 · —
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Stored reference
December 31 9%
December 31 9%Market quality
46 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$118.4
Liquidity
$22.9K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$1.8K
Bid / Ask
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December 31Spread
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Comments
0
7d Change
+4.2 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingOct 12, 26, 9:17 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · December 31
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on?
PolymarketPakistan military action against Yemen by which date?
PolymarketIsrael military action against Yemen by which date?
PolymarketFrance, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by which date?
PolymarketIsrael x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the highest level of U.S. military action against Cuba by the end of January 31, 2027?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Turkey takes a qualifying military action against Yemen between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Yemen Standard Time.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Turkey, that directly impacts Yemen.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The qualifying military action must be carried out by the armed forces of Turkey.