PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Jul 26, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current implied probabilityNo Change 49%+19.5%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$439.9
Low liquidityBid / Ask
2.0% / 72.0%
Spread
3500.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 24 minutes ago
Jul 24, 26, 4:04 PMSep 23, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
No Change49%
Compare venues· No Change
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall86% match · auto | Low | 56% | — | $0 | $658 | 24 minutes ago | Open → |
| PolymarketThis page | Low | 49% | — | $0 | $439.9 | 24 minutes ago |
Also available on Kalshi
South African Reserve Bank rate decision in September
1mo
56%
35%
8%
+2 more outcomes
28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$858
24h Vol$0
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s September Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its September 23, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar
- This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s September Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its September 23, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar
- This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.