KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Hike 1-25bps (89%)
Resolved: Sep 23, 2026, 1:56 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 23, 2026, 12:45 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Hike 1-25bps79%
Cut more than 25bps2%
Hike more than 25bps27%
Hike 1-25bpsWon
Hike more than 25bpsLost
Maintain current rateLost
Cut more than 25bpsLost
Cut 1-25bpsLost
Rules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the South African Reserve Bank takes the action of the named outcome at its September Monetary Policy Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Trading Economics
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
