KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Hike 1-25bps 52.8%Leader of 5 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
20 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$1.8K
Low liquidityMarket data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Jul 22, 26, 8:45 PM UTCSep 23, 26, 12:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
If the South African Reserve Bank takes the action of the named outcome at its September Monetary Policy Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Trading Economics
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
Prediction Source Comparison
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for South African Reserve Bank rate decision in September?
- Kalshi prices Hike 1-25bps at 53% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does South African Reserve Bank rate decision in September resolve?
- South African Reserve Bank rate decision in September is scheduled to resolve on September 23, 2026.
- How is South African Reserve Bank rate decision in September settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the South African Reserve Bank takes the action of the named outcome at its September Monetary Policy Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is South African Reserve Bank rate decision in September listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket.