PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 25 bps increase
Resolved: Sep 29, 2026, 6:32 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 30, 2026, 4:26 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
25 bps increase100%
50+ bps decrease0%
25 bps decrease0%
No change0%
25 bps increaseWon
50+ bps decreaseLost
25 bps decreaseLost
No changeLost
50+ bps increaseLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketReserve Bank of New Zealand rate decision in October
KalshiRules
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the cash rate target resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- The resolution source will be official information from the Reserve Bank of Australia, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 28-29, 2026, as listed on the official RBA calendar (https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/calendar/?topics=monetary-policy-board).
- This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
- If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
- Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).