Current community forecast
No change 55.1%Leader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
5
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-7.3 pts
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleMay 16, 26, 5:51 AM UTCSep 29, 26, 4:25 AM UTC
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in September
KalshiWill the Reserve Bank of Australia raise the rate 25 bps at the September 29, 2026 meeting?
ForecastExWill the Reserve Bank of Australia lower the rate 25 bps at the September 29, 2026 meeting?
ForecastExReserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
PolymarketWill the Reserve Bank of Australia leave the rate unchanged at the November 3, 2026 meeting? (RBA) (Interest rates) (Cash rate) (Monetary policy) (Rate hike) (Rate cut)?
ForecastExSouth African Reserve Bank rate decision in September
KalshiRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve based on the official decision of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Board regarding the cash rate target following its monetary policy meeting in September 2026.
- Increase: The RBA announces an increase in the cash rate target.
- the named outcome: The RBA announces that the cash rate target will remain at its current level.
- Decrease: The RBA announces a decrease in the cash rate target.
- The market will resolve according to the official media release published on the RBA website (https://www.rba.gov.au/monetary-policy/rba-board-decisions/).
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September · 25 bps increase 63%
- Also available on Kalshi — Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in September · Hike 1-25bps 63%
Related Cryptos
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decision in September??
- Manifold Markets prices No change at 55% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decision in September? resolve?
- Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decision in September? is scheduled to resolve on September 29, 2026.
- How is Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decision in September? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria
- Where else is Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decision in September? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket, Kalshi.
