Selected book midpoint
Raphael Glucksmann · —
Loading selected book…
Book received (not venue quote time): —
Stored reference
Raphael Glucksmann 83.3%Leader of 10 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Raphael Glucksmann 83.3%Market quality
78 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$4.8K
Liquidity
$138.7K
High liquidityBid / Ask
— / —
Raphael GlucksmannSpread
—
Comments
12
7d Change
-2.5 pts
Market data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Jul 13, 26, 11:15 PM UTCOct 10, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Market depth · Raphael Glucksmann
Loading selected book…
Book received (not venue quote time): —
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How many seats will the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party get in the next Spanish general election?
Manifold MarketsWinner of France’s presidential election
FutuurWill a socialist or communist revolution happen in a NATO country by 2030?
Manifold Markets2028 Democratic presidential nominee
KalshiRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRules
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is expected to hold a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections in October 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) to contest the 2027 French presidential elections.
- If no nominee is announced by April 17, 2027, 11:59PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
- Any replacement of the nominee before the 2027 French presidential elections will not change the resolution of the market.