Current implied probability
Raphael Glucksmann 66.7%+0.5ptLeader of 10 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$141.7
Liquidity
$96.2K
High liquiditySpread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
11
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Jul 13, 26, 11:15 PM UTCOct 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
0%
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is expected to hold a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections in October 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) to contest the 2027 French presidential elections.
- If no nominee is announced by April 17, 2027, 11:59PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
- Any replacement of the nominee before the 2027 French presidential elections will not change the resolution of the market.