This market resolved: Raphael Glucksmann
Resolved: Oct 12, 2026, 12:13 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 12, 2026, 7:45 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Raphael Glucksmann85%
Olivier Faure11%
Karim Bouamrane0%
Philippe Brun0%
Francois Hollande0%
Raphael GlucksmannWon
Bernard CazeneuveLost
Boris VallaudLost
Carole DelgaLost
Francois HollandeLost
Jérôme GuedjLost
Karim BouamraneLost
Olivier FaureLost
Philippe BrunLost
Segolene RoyalLost
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is expected to hold a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections in October 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) to contest the 2027 French presidential elections.
- If no nominee is announced by April 17, 2027, 11:59PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
- Any replacement of the nominee before the 2027 French presidential elections will not change the resolution of the market.